Guarany de Sobral vs São Benedito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
HOR
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
HOR
3 - 4
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
ITA
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Benedito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
HOR
19%
22%
59%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 3
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
4 - 4
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
3 - 1
SAO
75%
17%
9%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |