Guarany de Sobral vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 3
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 2
GUA
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
5 - 0
FLA
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
JVL
3 - 0
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 0
JVL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 3
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CSA
1 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
POT
69%
18%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |