Guarany de Sobral vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 0
GUA
35%
28%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAM
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GLO
3 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
GUA
87%
11%
3%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SAL
0 - 0
GLO
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
0 - 1
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAL
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |