Guarany de Sobral vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
FOR
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 0
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ICA
2 - 1
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
QUI
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 0
FER
25%
23%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 4
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
QUI
71%
17%
13%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
HOR
2 - 3
FER
46%
24%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |