Guaraní vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
12O
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
GUA
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 0
RPA
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 0
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 0
GEN
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |