Guaraní vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RÑU
1 - 2
GUA
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
GUA
26%
25%
50%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 2
GUA
21%
25%
55%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
LQE
0 - 1
GUA
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 1
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
LQE
1 - 2
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 4
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -3 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |