Guaraní vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
AME
3 - 0
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 1
LQE
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 2
AME
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 3
GEN
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |