Guaraní vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 2
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
TAC
54%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CER
70%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CER
5 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |