Guaraní vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
9.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
RIV
4 - 2
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
GUA
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 1
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
SPC
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
TAC
2 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |