Guarani MG vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
BOA
2 - 2
GUA
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
CRZ
10%
23%
67%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
TFC
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAT
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
URT
1 - 1
CAL
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
AMF
8%
19%
73%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MAD
3 - 1
CAL
39%
28%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |