Guaraní vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 2
GUA
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 0
GUA
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 4
GUA
33%
30%
38%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
YPI
0 - 0
MOG
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
BOA
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
4 - 0
MOG
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MOG
2 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |