Guaraní vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
66.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 2
GUA
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
GOI
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 2
SAN
11%
20%
69%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
8 - 1
GUA
87%
10%
4%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRZ
45%
26%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CRZ
2 - 2
AVA
68%
19%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
CRZ
0 - 2
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 2
CRZ
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 3
CRZ
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |