Federal A Transición Etapas Finales. 1/16
Global 1-1
Guaraní A. Franco vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2017 |
MAI
0 - 1
GAF
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 2
MAI
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
DPR
3 - 0
GAF
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -3 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 1
SOL
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
GIM
3 - 1
DFR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 3
DFR
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
DFR
3 - 0
AGR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
SLP
1 - 1
DFR
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |