Guangzhou City vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
YHO
2 - 2
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
GUA
4 - 1
SIC
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
GUA
1 - 2
SHA
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
TIT
2 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
GUA
1 - 2
DAL
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
SHE
4 - 0
XIA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
SHE
1 - 1
LIA
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
CHO
2 - 2
SHE
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
SHE
2 - 0
BEI
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
SHE
3 - 0
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |