Guangzhou FC vs Dalian Shide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
4 - 2
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
DAL
0 - 0
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
TIT
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIA
73%
16%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dalian Shide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
TIT
1 - 1
DAL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DAL
2 - 3
HAN
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SHA
0 - 0
DAL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DAL
4 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BEI
1 - 0
DAL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |