Baiano 2 Round 4

Guanambí vs AD Astro analysis

Guanambí AD Astro
41 ELO 21
-8.3% Tilt -3.7%
36813º General ELO ranking 36811º
1140º Country ELO ranking 1138º
ELO win probability
69.3%
Guanambí
18.1%
Draw
12.6%
AD Astro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
Guanambí
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.6%
Win probability
AD Astro
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Guanambí
AD Astro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guanambí
Guanambí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2009
ADA
AD Astro
0 - 2
Guanambí
GAC
25%
24%
51%
40 23 17 0
31 May. 2009
GAC
Guanambí
2 - 1
Serrano SC
SER
41%
25%
34%
39 42 3 +1
24 May. 2009
BAH
Bahia de Feira
5 - 0
Guanambí
GAC
68%
19%
13%
40 52 12 -1
26 Oct. 2008
MDE
Madre de Deus
2 - 0
Guanambí
GAC
63%
20%
17%
41 48 7 -1
19 Oct. 2008
GAC
Guanambí
1 - 1
Madre de Deus
MDE
32%
25%
43%
40 48 8 +1

Matches

AD Astro
AD Astro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2009
ADA
AD Astro
0 - 2
Guanambí
GAC
25%
24%
51%
23 40 17 0
31 May. 2009
ADA
AD Astro
0 - 0
Bahia de Feira
BAH
16%
22%
62%
20 52 32 +3
24 May. 2009
SER
Serrano SC
3 - 1
AD Astro
ADA
76%
15%
9%
20 41 21 0
23 Sep. 2007
ADA
AD Astro
0 - 0
Camaçariense
CAM
24%
24%
53%
19 38 19 +1
16 Sep. 2007
ADL
Leônico
1 - 6
AD Astro
ADA
76%
16%
9%
17 66 49 +2