Gualaceo vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SSR
1 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
SSR
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MUS
5 - 2
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
PQU
2 - 0
GUA
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
LDU
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MUS
2 - 0
LDU
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LDU
1 - 0
MUS
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MUS
5 - 2
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
FAM
2 - 2
MUS
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MUS
1 - 1
OLM
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |