Guaireña vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CCP
2 - 2
GUA
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
LQE
3 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
26%
44%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LQE
0 - 3
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |