Guadiaro vs Tesorillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+1405%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadiaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
BAZ
1 - 0
GUA
10%
18%
73%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 1
CDV
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BCA
2 - 0
GUA
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
LOS
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
UDT
0 - 2
GUA
24%
23%
54%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tesorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
UDT
1 - 0
BCA
39%
23%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
UDT
3 - 2
UDT
71%
16%
14%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
LOS
0 - 2
UDT
56%
22%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
UDT
39%
24%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
UDT
2 - 2
VIL
59%
20%
22%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |