Guadiana vs Cabeça Gorda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
REN
2 - 1
GUA
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 2
GUA
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 2
PIE
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PMI
4 - 1
GUA
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
SMA
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cabeça Gorda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAG
1 - 2
ALM
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PIE
3 - 2
CAG
63%
19%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAG
0 - 4
PMI
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SMA
0 - 1
CAG
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAG
0 - 0
ALD
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |