Guadalcanal vs Marist Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
73.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalcanal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SOL
7 - 1
GUA
95%
4%
1%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAL
4 - 0
GUA
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 5
WES
8%
12%
80%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 3
REA
50%
20%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -10 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
KOS
3 - 1
GUA
55%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marist Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 3
HEE
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
MAR
16%
19%
65%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -3 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 3
KOS
48%
23%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
WES
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +8 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAL
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |