Ambrosiana vs Virtus Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
64.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
GSD
3 - 1
CLO
45%
21%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 1
GSD
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GSD
0 - 3
UNI
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SDA
3 - 0
GSD
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GSD
0 - 1
ACE
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 0
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SDA
1 - 1
VIR
24%
21%
54%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
VIR
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIR
2 - 1
CAM
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ACE
1 - 1
VIR
26%
27%
47%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |