Ambrosiana vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GSD
3 - 0
CJA
58%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
VIG
3 - 0
GSD
23%
21%
56%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
GSD
5 - 0
TAM
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
LUI
1 - 1
GSD
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ACE
4 - 1
GSD
21%
22%
58%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
TAM
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
LUI
1 - 3
SAN
15%
18%
68%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
ACE
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
DEL
1 - 0
SAN
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
MON
1 - 3
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |