Ambrosiana vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
GSD
2 - 2
VBE
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SCA
0 - 0
GSD
40%
24%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GSD
1 - 0
SON
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
GSD
3 - 2
REZ
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +4 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
GSD
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
OLG
0 - 1
CAR
14%
21%
65%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
VBE
1 - 0
OLG
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
OLG
0 - 3
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SON
1 - 1
OLG
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 3
CAR
42%
25%
34%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |