Ambrosiana vs Caldiero Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SDA
1 - 1
GSD
55%
23%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
GSD
0 - 3
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MZN
2 - 0
GSD
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GSD
1 - 2
MES
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
GSD
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caldiero Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
ACE
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CJA
2 - 2
CAL
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
DEL
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 2
CAL
59%
20%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
CHI
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |