Ambrosiana vs Chions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GSD
1 - 0
CAR
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 0
GSD
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GSD
1 - 0
CAM
33%
23%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CLO
1 - 1
GSD
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GSD
5 - 1
SAN
48%
22%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LUI
3 - 1
CHI
21%
21%
59%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
ACE
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
DEL
0 - 1
CHI
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
CHI
62%
21%
18%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |