Grimsby Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
GRI
1 - 2
TOW
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
LEY
2 - 3
GRI
51%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 3
GRI
73%
18%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BOL
0 - 0
GRI
32%
25%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
GRI
0 - 4
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
OLD
1 - 1
CUM
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 2
COL
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
POR
0 - 1
CUM
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
SUN
5 - 3
CUM
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CUM
1 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |