Gresley vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
TAD
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 3
GRE
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SUT
3 - 0
GRE
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 3
STO
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 0
GRE
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
BRI
36%
24%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
WIS
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TAD
0 - 2
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
COA
27%
23%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |