Serrano PB vs EC de Patos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
4 - 0
SPB
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SPB
1 - 4
CSP
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 0
SPB
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
SPB
2 - 2
PER
73%
16%
12%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ECP
2 - 0
SPB
24%
20%
56%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
EC de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ECP
2 - 1
SOU
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 0
ECP
82%
13%
5%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ECP
1 - 0
TRE
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +3 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
ECP
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ECP
2 - 0
SPB
24%
20%
56%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |