Grêmio vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
COR
44%
29%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRI
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SCI
2 - 0
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRE
41%
27%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATP
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CRZ
3 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
LON
77%
15%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
COR
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |