Grêmio vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11%
3.2%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 1
GRE
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
4 - 1
CFC
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SCI
2 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 3
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
VER
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LAJ
1 - 1
ESP
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LAJ
3 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
LAJ
1 - 0
ECS
29%
25%
45%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
1 - 1
LAJ
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
LAJ
1 - 0
SCI
11%
21%
68%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +1 |