Grêmio vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 0
GRE
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
JUV
82%
14%
5%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATM
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 0
GRE
18%
27%
55%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 1
GRE
19%
28%
53%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 0
FOR
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
FOR
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
VAS
39%
27%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |