Copa Libertadores Playoffs. Semi-finals
Global 1-6
Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 1
GRE
27%
28%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
6 - 1
AVA
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
GRE
41%
28%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
GOI
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CRZ
1 - 4
GRE
39%
29%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FLA
0 - 0
SAO
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
SCI
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CRZ
1 - 2
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLA
14%
23%
62%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |