Grêmio vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 0
FLA
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 2
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
LON
0 - 2
GRE
34%
27%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
CHA
88%
10%
2%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
COR
2 - 1
PAY
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2004 |
PPE
3 - 2
COR
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
COR
0 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
FER
0 - 2
COR
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
COR
0 - 1
POR
84%
11%
4%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |