Copa do Brasil . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Grêmio vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1997 |
COR
1 - 2
GRE
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1997 |
GRE
2 - 1
GUA
81%
13%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
VIT
3 - 3
GRE
31%
25%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
GUA
2 - 1
GRE
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1997 |
GRE
2 - 0
VIT
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1997 |
COR
1 - 2
GRE
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1997 |
ATP
2 - 6
COR
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
COR
1 - 2
ATP
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1997 |
ATM
1 - 1
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1997 |
COR
1 - 0
ATM
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |