Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VAS
4 - 0
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 2
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
4 - 0
ATP
62%
21%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
COR
3 - 2
GRE
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
COT
5 - 0
BOT
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
CEA
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |