Grêmio Osasco vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 1
GRE
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
TAU
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 2
SAO
24%
27%
50%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 0
TAU
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |