Copa Gaúcha 1ª Fase. Jor. 5

Grêmio B vs São Borja analysis

Grêmio B São Borja
48 ELO 30
3.1% Tilt -6.9%
36524º General ELO ranking 40499º
1065º Country ELO ranking 1121º
ELO win probability
70.5%
Grêmio B
17.1%
Draw
12.3%
São Borja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
Grêmio B
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.3%
Win probability
São Borja
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grêmio B
+4%
+22%
São Borja

ELO progression

Grêmio B
São Borja
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio B
Grêmio B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2023
PEL
Pelotas
1 - 3
Grêmio B
GRE
30%
24%
46%
46 44 2 0
09 Aug. 2023
GRE
Grêmio B
2 - 2
Novo Hamburgo
NOV
41%
24%
36%
46 49 3 0
03 Aug. 2023
NOV
Novo Hamburgo
1 - 0
Grêmio B
GRE
46%
23%
31%
47 48 1 -1
05 Jul. 2023
GRE
Grêmio B
1 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
50%
23%
27%
46 45 1 +1
25 Jun. 2023
BOR
São Borja
0 - 2
Grêmio B
GRE
13%
19%
68%
46 28 18 0

Matches

São Borja
São Borja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2023
BOR
São Borja
2 - 0
Real SC
RSC
47%
23%
30%
30 22 8 0
13 Aug. 2023
BOR
São Borja
1 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
16%
22%
63%
26 45 19 +4
09 Aug. 2023
PEL
Pelotas
2 - 0
São Borja
BOR
63%
21%
16%
27 45 18 -1
22 Jul. 2023
RSC
Real SC
1 - 1
São Borja
BOR
31%
22%
47%
27 24 3 0
25 Jun. 2023
BOR
São Borja
0 - 2
Grêmio B
GRE
13%
19%
68%
28 46 18 -1
X