Farroupilha vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ECA
2 - 0
FAR
60%
21%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 2
FAR
46%
23%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FAR
4 - 0
RIO
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
FAR
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
GFC
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 2
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
GEB
68%
19%
12%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |