Farroupilha vs Gaúcho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 3
GLO
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
URS
0 - 0
FAR
51%
23%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 1
YPI
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SSR
2 - 3
FAR
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
FAR
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 0
GAU
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GAU
1 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PAN
3 - 0
GAU
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
GAU
2 - 4
BRA
21%
22%
58%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GAU
1 - 3
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |