Gremio Anapolis vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 2
IPO
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 2
ANA
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
GRE
66%
22%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
APA
1 - 2
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRA
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
GAL
0 - 1
VIL
11%
20%
68%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 1
VIL
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
GRE
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |