Greenock Morton vs Queen's Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 2
QOS
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 1
ARB
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
ICT
3 - 2
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
QOS
0 - 4
GRE
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
4 - 4
ALL
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Queen's Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 0
QUE
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
STE
0 - 0
QUE
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
QUE
2 - 0
BLA
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 0
QUE
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
COV
2 - 0
QUE
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |