Greenock Morton vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 5
GRE
42%
23%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ROS
0 - 0
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 3
GRE
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
STR
0 - 8
GRE
42%
23%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STI
3 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
5 - 0
STI
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 2
QOS
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LIV
6 - 0
ARB
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
AIR
0 - 5
LIV
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 1
HIB
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |