Greenock Morton vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 3
GRE
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
FAL
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 1
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 4
GRE
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 2
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CWB
3 - 2
AIR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CWB
1 - 1
HAM
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DUM
2 - 2
CWB
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CWB
1 - 1
RAI
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 0
CWB
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |