Greenock Morton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
DUN
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
GRE
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
GRE
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
ROS
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
DUM
2 - 1
GRE
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
GLA
4 - 0
AYR
74%
16%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ALL
0 - 2
AYR
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AYR
3 - 2
FAL
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
QOS
5 - 0
AYR
31%
25%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AYR
4 - 1
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |