National Premier Victoria. Jor. 5

Green Gully Cavaliers vs Altona Magic analysis

Green Gully Cavaliers Altona Magic
25 ELO 25
7% Tilt -8.6%
9403º General ELO ranking 9281º
78º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
59.9%
Green Gully Cavaliers
19.8%
Draw
20.3%
Altona Magic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
Green Gully Cavaliers
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.3%
Win probability
Altona Magic
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Green Gully Cavaliers
-32%
-6%
Altona Magic

ELO progression

Green Gully Cavaliers
Altona Magic
Oakleigh Cannons
Hume City FC
Dandenong City
Manningham United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Green Gully Cavaliers
Green Gully Cavaliers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2024
HEU
Heidelberg Utd
3 - 0
Green Gully Cavaliers
GRE
63%
20%
17%
27 34 7 0
23 Feb. 2024
GRE
Green Gully Cavaliers
4 - 1
Manningham United
MNG
86%
9%
5%
27 9 18 0
17 Feb. 2024
HUM
Hume City FC
2 - 0
Green Gully Cavaliers
GRE
32%
24%
44%
28 23 5 -1
09 Feb. 2024
GRE
Green Gully Cavaliers
1 - 0
Moreland City
MCF
83%
11%
6%
28 14 14 0
19 Aug. 2023
STA
St Albans Saints
0 - 2
Green Gully Cavaliers
GRE
22%
23%
56%
27 19 8 +1

Matches

Altona Magic
Altona Magic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2024
ALM
Altona Magic
2 - 3
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
48%
23%
29%
24 23 1 0
16 Feb. 2024
DAC
Dandenong City
3 - 2
Altona Magic
ALM
38%
22%
40%
24 21 3 0
10 Feb. 2024
ALM
Altona Magic
0 - 1
Heidelberg Utd
HEU
30%
23%
48%
25 31 6 -1
25 Aug. 2023
OAK
Oakleigh Cannons
5 - 0
Altona Magic
ALM
85%
10%
5%
26 43 17 -1
19 Aug. 2023
POR
Port Melbourne Sharks
4 - 0
Altona Magic
ALM
65%
19%
16%
27 36 9 -1
X