Zambia League Round 12

Green Buffaloes vs Red Arrows analysis

Green Buffaloes Red Arrows
42 ELO 43
-19.7% Tilt -17.2%
8531º General ELO ranking 7550º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.5%
Green Buffaloes
27.6%
Draw
20.9%
Red Arrows

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
Green Buffaloes
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
20.9%
Win probability
Red Arrows
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Green Buffaloes
-24%
+42%
Red Arrows

ELO progression

Green Buffaloes
Red Arrows
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Green Buffaloes
Green Buffaloes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2013
POW
Power Dynamos
0 - 1
Green Buffaloes
GRE
53%
25%
22%
42 42 0 0
25 May. 2013
GRE
Green Buffaloes
1 - 3
Zesco United
ZES
47%
28%
25%
42 42 0 0
18 May. 2013
KON
Konkola Blades
0 - 1
Green Buffaloes
GRE
45%
28%
27%
41 42 1 +1
11 May. 2013
GRE
Green Buffaloes
1 - 4
Nkwazi
NKW
42%
27%
31%
42 42 0 -1
04 May. 2013
KAB
Kabwe Warriors
2 - 0
Green Buffaloes
GRE
41%
29%
30%
42 42 0 0

Matches

Red Arrows
Red Arrows
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2013
FOR
Forest Rangers
2 - 2
Red Arrows
RED
48%
29%
23%
42 41 1 0
01 Jun. 2013
RED
Red Arrows
2 - 0
Kalulushi Modern Stars FC
KAL
49%
25%
27%
42 42 0 0
18 May. 2013
RED
Red Arrows
1 - 1
Roan United
ROA
50%
25%
25%
42 42 0 0
11 May. 2013
RED
Red Arrows
2 - 0
NAPSA Stars FC
NAP
48%
24%
28%
42 42 0 0
04 May. 2013
POW
Power Dynamos
1 - 1
Red Arrows
RED
57%
25%
18%
42 42 0 0