Black Rock vs Connecticut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Rock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
GBF
1 - 3
SEA
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GBF
2 - 0
MAL
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BOS
3 - 1
GBF
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 2
GBF
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
CAC
7 - 2
GBF
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Connecticut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
WES
3 - 0
CAC
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 3
CAC
73%
15%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
CAC
3 - 4
SEA
28%
24%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 2
GBF
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 2
WES
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |