Europa League 1/32
Global 5-1
Grazer AK vs Litex Lovech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 1
AUS
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
AWM
2 - 0
GRA
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
LIV
0 - 1
GRA
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 1
SVP
78%
16%
6%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MAT
0 - 1
GRA
32%
26%
43%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
LOV
1 - 1
SSO
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VID
1 - 2
LOV
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
LOV
7 - 0
ZEL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
LOV
0 - 1
LSO
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
CVA
1 - 3
LOV
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |