Non League Div One Isthmian North. Jor. 16

Grays Athletic vs Tilbury analysis

Grays Athletic Tilbury
27 ELO 27
4.8% Tilt -9.6%
10265º General ELO ranking 7686º
629º Country ELO ranking 396º
ELO win probability
46.9%
Grays Athletic
22%
Draw
31.1%
Tilbury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
Grays Athletic
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
31.1%
Win probability
Tilbury
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grays Athletic
-4%
+19%
Tilbury

ELO progression

Grays Athletic
Tilbury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grays Athletic
Grays Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2021
HTG
Hashtag United
0 - 1
Grays Athletic
GRA
51%
22%
28%
27 27 0 0
20 Nov. 2021
WHI
Witham Town
1 - 1
Grays Athletic
GRA
15%
21%
64%
27 15 12 0
13 Nov. 2021
GRA
Grays Athletic
0 - 2
Stowmarket Town
STO
47%
22%
31%
28 30 2 -1
10 Nov. 2021
GRA
Grays Athletic
1 - 1
AFC Sudbury
YEL
40%
24%
36%
28 34 6 0
02 Nov. 2021
GRE
Great Wakering Rovers
1 - 0
Grays Athletic
GRA
31%
23%
46%
30 20 10 -2

Matches

Tilbury
Tilbury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2021
TIL
Tilbury
1 - 2
Heybridge Swifts
HEY
45%
23%
32%
28 27 1 0
20 Nov. 2021
YEL
AFC Sudbury
4 - 2
Tilbury
TIL
61%
19%
19%
29 35 6 -1
13 Nov. 2021
TIL
Tilbury
3 - 0
Hullbridge Sports
HUL
84%
11%
5%
28 13 15 +1
06 Nov. 2021
TIL
Tilbury
2 - 0
Coggeshall Town
CTF
49%
24%
27%
27 27 0 +1
30 Oct. 2021
MAL
Maldon & Tiptree
4 - 2
Tilbury
TIL
72%
15%
12%
28 39 11 -1
X